Today / Puskas A. W vs Ferencvaros W

Puskas A. W vs Ferencvaros W Prediction

Thursday, May 28, 2026

Puskas A. W

PPG 2.36 · HOME

4 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Ferencvaros W

PPG 2.64 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.6 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.6%0-15.3%0-25.3%0-33.6%0-4+2.9%1 1-04.3%1-18.6%1-28.7%1-35.8%1-4+4.7%2 2-03.5%2-17.0%2-27.0%2-34.7%2-4+3.8%3 3-01.9%3-13.8%3-23.8%3-32.6%3-4+2.0%4+ 4+-01.1%4+-12.2%4+-22.2%4+-31.5%4+-4+1.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 34.3% — — —

Draw 23.2% — — —

Away win 42.5% — — —

Over 2.5 63.9% — — —

Over 3.5 54.8% — — —

BTTS 63.0% — — —

Home O1.5 48.2% — — —

Away O1.5 59.8% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 52%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-1

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)2.0 BTTS prob63.0%

A 42% / xG 1.6-2.0 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.6%

#2 1–2 8.7%

#3 2–2 7.0%

#4 2–1 7.0%

#5 1–3 5.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Puskas A. W1.6

Ferencvaros W2.0

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.9% · O3.5 PROB 54.8%

Form & verdict PPG

PUSKAS A. W · PPG 2.36

FERENCVAROS W · PPG 2.64

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (2.36), Away EXCELLENT (2.64)

Win probability 1X2

Puskas A. W (H) 34.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Ferencvaros W (A) 42.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Puskas A. W face Ferencvaros W on Thursday, May 28, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Puskas A. W a 34% chance, the draw 23% and Ferencvaros W 43%, so Ferencvaros W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Puskas A. W and 2.0 for Ferencvaros W (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Puskas A. W are averaging 2.36 points per game versus 2.64 for Ferencvaros W. This match finished 4-1.

Puskas A. W vs Ferencvaros W Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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