Today / Waterford W vs Shamrock R. W

Waterford W vs Shamrock R. W Prediction

Tuesday, May 26, 2026

Waterford W
PPG 0.33 · HOME
2 – 2
FULL TIME
✘ MODEL PICK MISS · AWAY
Shamrock R. W
PPG 2.33 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.33) vs Home POOR (0.33)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.0%0-115.9%0-217.9%0-313.5%0-4+13.0%1 1-02.8%1-16.3%1-27.1%1-35.3%1-4+5.1%2 2-00.5%2-11.2%2-21.4%2-31.1%2-4+1.0%3 3-00.1%3-10.2%3-20.2%3-30.1%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.0%4+-10.0%4+-20.0%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 9.2%
Draw 22.2%
Away win 68.6%
Over 2.5 52.6%
Over 3.5 27.6%
BTTS 46.2%
Home O1.5 6.0%
Away O1.5 66.0%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 3 47%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 2-2
xG (home)0.4 xG (away)2.3 BTTS prob46.2%

A 69% / xG 0.4-2.3 / O2.5 53% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2 17.9%
#2 0–1 15.9%
#3 0–3 13.5%
#4 0–0 7.0%
#5 0–4 7.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Waterford W0.4
Shamrock R. W2.3

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 52.6% · O3.5 PROB 27.6%

Form & verdict PPG

WATERFORD W · PPG 0.33

SHAMROCK R. W · PPG 2.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value
63%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.33) vs Home POOR (0.33)

Win probability 1X2

Waterford W (H) 9.2%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 22.2%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Shamrock R. W (A) 68.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Waterford W face Shamrock R. W on Tuesday, May 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Waterford W a 9% chance, the draw 22% and Shamrock R. W 69%, so Shamrock R. W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.4 for Waterford W and 2.3 for Shamrock R. W (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Waterford W are averaging 0.33 points per game versus 2.33 for Shamrock R. W. This match finished 2-2.

PredictVantage

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