Today / Hangzhou Linpin vs Hubei Istar

Hangzhou Linpin vs Hubei Istar Prediction

Tuesday, May 26, 2026

Hangzhou Linpin
PPG 0.60 · HOME
VS
UPCOMING
Hubei Istar
PPG 1.75 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.75) vs Home POOR (0.60)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.4%0-116.1%0-212.4%0-36.3%0-4+3.4%1 1-07.5%1-111.6%1-28.9%1-34.6%1-4+2.5%2 2-02.7%2-14.2%2-23.2%2-31.6%2-4+0.9%3 3-00.7%3-11.0%3-20.8%3-30.4%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.2%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 15.1%
Draw 27.7%
Away win 57.2%
Over 2.5 46.2%
Over 3.5 19.3%
BTTS 48.6%
Home O1.5 16.3%
Away O1.5 45.6%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 36%CONFIDENCE
xG (home)0.7 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob48.6%

A 57% / xG 0.7-1.5 / U2.5 46% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–1 16.1%
#2 1–1 11.6%
#3 0–2 12.4%
#4 0–0 10.4%
#5 1–2 8.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Hangzhou Linpin0.7
Hubei Istar1.5

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.2% · O3.5 PROB 19.3%

Form & verdict PPG

HANGZHOU LINPIN · PPG 0.60

HUBEI ISTAR · PPG 1.75

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value
63%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.75) vs Home POOR (0.60)

Win probability 1X2

Hangzhou Linpin (H) 15.1%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 27.7%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Hubei Istar (A) 57.2%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Hangzhou Linpin face Hubei Istar on Tuesday, May 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Hangzhou Linpin a 15% chance, the draw 28% and Hubei Istar 57%, so Hubei Istar are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for Hangzhou Linpin and 1.5 for Hubei Istar (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Hangzhou Linpin are averaging 0.60 points per game versus 1.75 for Hubei Istar.

PredictVantage

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