Today / Shenzhen 2028 vs Wenzhou Pro.

Shenzhen 2028 vs Wenzhou Pro. Prediction

Tuesday, May 26, 2026

Shenzhen 2028

PPG 1.60 · HOME

4 – 0

FULL TIME

Wenzhou Pro.

PPG 0.60 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.4%0-19.6%0-24.1%0-31.2%0-4+0.3%1 1-015.1%1-112.8%1-25.4%1-31.5%1-4+0.4%2 2-010.0%2-18.5%2-23.6%2-31.0%2-4+0.3%3 3-04.4%3-13.8%3-21.6%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-02.0%4+-11.7%4+-20.7%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 48.1% — — —

Draw 27.4% — — —

Away win 24.4% — — —

Over 2.5 46.2% — — —

Over 3.5 17.6% — — —

BTTS 49.2% — — —

Home O1.5 38.3% — — —

Away O1.5 20.8% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 29%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-0

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob49.2%

H 48% / xG 1.3-0.8 / U2.5 46% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.8%

#2 0–0 11.4%

#3 1–0 15.1%

#4 2–0 10.0%

#5 2–1 8.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Shenzhen 20281.3

Wenzhou Pro.0.8

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.2% · O3.5 PROB 17.6%

Form & verdict PPG

SHENZHEN 2028 · PPG 1.60

WENZHOU PRO. · PPG 0.60

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.60) vs P(Home)=48.1%

Win probability 1X2

Shenzhen 2028 (H) 48.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Wenzhou Pro. (A) 24.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Shenzhen 2028 face Wenzhou Pro. on Tuesday, May 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Shenzhen 2028 a 48% chance, the draw 27% and Wenzhou Pro. 24%, so Shenzhen 2028 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Shenzhen 2028 and 0.8 for Wenzhou Pro. (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Shenzhen 2028 are averaging 1.60 points per game versus 0.60 for Wenzhou Pro.. This match finished 4-0.

Shenzhen 2028 vs Wenzhou Pro. Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

More Football Predictions