Today / Shanghai Port B vs L. Longyuan

Shanghai Port B vs L. Longyuan Prediction

Tuesday, May 26, 2026

Shanghai Port B
PPG 2.00 · HOME
1 – 0
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME
L. Longyuan
PPG 1.25 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.00) > Away AVERAGE (1.25)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-025.3%0-17.9%0-21.2%0-30.1%0-4+0.0%1 1-026.8%1-18.4%1-21.3%1-30.1%1-4+0.0%2 2-014.2%2-14.5%2-20.7%2-30.1%2-4+0.0%3 3-05.0%3-11.6%3-20.2%3-30.0%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-01.7%4+-10.5%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 50.7%
Draw 32.7%
Away win 16.6%
Over 2.5 25.8%
Over 3.5 5.1%
BTTS 29.3%
Home O1.5 28.6%
Away O1.5 4.0%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 50%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 1-0
xG (home)1.1 xG (away)0.3 BTTS prob29.3%

H 51% / xG 1.1-0.3 / U2.5 26% / NoBTTS 29%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 25.3%
#2 1–0 26.8%
#3 2–0 14.2%
#4 1–1 8.4%
#5 0–1 7.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Shanghai Port B1.1
L. Longyuan0.3

COMBINED 1.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 25.8% · O3.5 PROB 5.1%

Form & verdict PPG

SHANGHAI PORT B · PPG 2.00

L. LONGYUAN · PPG 1.25

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.00) > Away AVERAGE (1.25)

Win probability 1X2

Shanghai Port B (H) 50.7%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 32.7%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
L. Longyuan (A) 16.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Shanghai Port B face L. Longyuan on Tuesday, May 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Shanghai Port B a 51% chance, the draw 33% and L. Longyuan 17%, so Shanghai Port B are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Shanghai Port B and 0.3 for L. Longyuan (1.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 26% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 29% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Shanghai Port B are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.25 for L. Longyuan. This match finished 1-0.

PredictVantage

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