Today / B68 Toftir vs HB Torshavn

B68 Toftir vs HB Torshavn Prediction

Monday, May 25, 2026

B68 Toftir
PPG 1.40 · HOME
0 – 1
FULL TIME
✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5
HB Torshavn
PPG 1.20 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.9%0-15.5%0-25.2%0-33.3%0-4+2.4%1 1-04.8%1-19.1%1-28.6%1-35.4%1-4+3.9%2 2-04.0%2-17.5%2-27.0%2-34.4%2-4+3.2%3 3-02.2%3-14.1%3-23.9%3-32.4%3-4+1.8%4+ 4+-01.3%4+-12.4%4+-22.3%4+-31.4%4+-4+1.0%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 35.1%
Draw 23.7%
Away win 41.2%
Over 2.5 63.9%
Over 3.5 46.9%
BTTS 62.5%
Home O1.5 48.9%
Away O1.5 56.2%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 49%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 0-1
xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.9 BTTS prob62.5%

A 41% / xG 1.6-1.9 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.1%
#2 1–2 8.6%
#3 2–1 7.5%
#4 2–2 7.0%
#5 1–3 5.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

B68 Toftir1.6
HB Torshavn1.9

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.9% · O3.5 PROB 46.9%

Form & verdict PPG

B68 TOFTIR · PPG 1.40

HB TORSHAVN · PPG 1.20

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.40), Away AVERAGE (1.20)

Win probability 1X2

B68 Toftir (H) 35.1%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 23.7%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
HB Torshavn (A) 41.2%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

B68 Toftir face HB Torshavn on Monday, May 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives B68 Toftir a 35% chance, the draw 24% and HB Torshavn 41%, so HB Torshavn are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for B68 Toftir and 1.9 for HB Torshavn (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, B68 Toftir are averaging 1.40 points per game versus 1.20 for HB Torshavn. This match finished 0-1.

PredictVantage

Free daily football predictions across 240+ leagues. A Poisson-based model analyses team form, attack and defence strength, and live bookmaker odds to surface value bets — updated every day, graded every night.

18+ only. PredictVantage is for entertainment and informational purposes only. All predictions are model-generated and do not guarantee any outcome. Match dates and kick-off times come from third-party data and may change — confirm with official sources before betting. Gambling involves risk — never bet more than you can afford to lose. BeGambleAware.org