Today / Norway - 3. Division - Girone 1 / Asker vs Gamle Oslo

Asker vs Gamle Oslo Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 1

Regular Season - 8 ·Monday, May 25, 2026, 16:00

Asker

PPG 3.00 · HOME

0 – 4

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME O1.5

Gamle Oslo

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

Model probability 96.0% vs bookmaker-implied 87.7% — a real, if thin, edge.

+9.4% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.1%0-10.2%0-20.2%0-30.1%0-4+0.0%1 1-00.7%1-11.1%1-20.9%1-30.4%1-4+0.2%2 2-01.8%2-12.8%2-22.2%2-31.1%2-4+0.6%3 3-02.9%3-14.6%3-23.6%3-31.9%3-4+1.0%4+ 4+-015.4%4+-124.1%4+-218.8%4+-39.8%4+-4+5.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 71.0% 72.5% 1.38 -2.0%

Draw 20.4% 20.0% 5.00 +1.2%

Away win 8.6% 19.0% 5.25 -32.9%

Over 2.5 79.0% 87.7% 1.14 -9.9%

Over 3.5 89.2% 70.4% 1.42 +26.7%

BTTS 66.7% 75.8% 1.32 -12.0%

Home O1.5 96.0% 87.7% 1.14 +9.4%

Away O1.5 46.3% 44.1% 2.27 +5.1%

League track record ↗

Based on 15 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5 80%

BTTS 67%

Score Hit 33%

ROI -14.4%

Bet Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 63%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-4

xG (home)5.0 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob66.7%

H 71% / xG 5.0-1.6 / O2.5 79% / BTTS 67%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 4–1 5.8%

#2 5–1 5.7%

#3 3–1 4.6%

#4 4–2 4.5%

#5 5–2 4.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Asker5.0

Gamle Oslo1.6

COMBINED 6.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 79.0% · O3.5 PROB 89.2%

Form & verdict PPG

ASKER · PPG 3.00

GAMLE OSLO · PPG 2.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (3.00), Away EXCELLENT (2.00) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Asker (H) 71.0%

ODDS 1.38 · IMPLIED 72.5% EV -2.0%

Draw 20.4%

ODDS 5.00 · IMPLIED 20.0% EV +1.2%

Gamle Oslo (A) 8.6%

ODDS 5.25 · IMPLIED 19.0% EV -32.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Asker face Gamle Oslo in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 1 on Monday, May 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Asker a 71% chance, the draw 20% and Gamle Oslo 9%, so Asker are favoured to win. Expected goals are 5.0 for Asker and 1.6 for Gamle Oslo (6.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 4-1. There is a 79% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 67% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Asker are averaging 3.00 points per game versus 2.00 for Gamle Oslo. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +26.7%. This match finished 0-4.

Asker vs Gamle Oslo Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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