Today / Norway - 3. Division - Girone 1 / Konnerud vs Lokomotiv Oslo

Konnerud vs Lokomotiv Oslo Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 1

Regular Season - 8 ·Monday, May 25, 2026, 13:00

Konnerud

PPG 2.00 · HOME

4 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME O1.5

Lokomotiv Oslo

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs P(Home)=53.1%

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.2%0-10.5%0-20.6%0-30.5%0-4+0.6%1 1-00.7%1-11.8%1-22.3%1-31.9%1-4+2.3%2 2-01.3%2-13.3%2-24.3%2-33.6%2-4+4.2%3 3-01.6%3-14.2%3-25.3%3-34.5%3-4+5.2%4+ 4+-04.0%4+-110.2%4+-213.0%4+-311.0%4+-4+12.9%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 53.1% — — —

Draw 21.9% — — —

Away win 25.0% — — —

Over 2.5 79.0% — — —

Over 3.5 87.1% — — —

BTTS 66.7% — — —

Home O1.5 88.6% — — —

Away O1.5 72.2% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 15 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5 80%

BTTS 67%

Score Hit 33%

ROI -14.4%

Bet Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 2 53%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-3

xG (home)3.7 xG (away)2.5 BTTS prob66.7%

H 53% / xG 3.7-2.5 / O2.5 79% / BTTS 67%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–2 5.3%

#2 4–2 4.9%

#3 3–3 4.5%

#4 2–2 4.3%

#5 4–3✓ 4.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Konnerud3.7

Lokomotiv Oslo2.5

COMBINED 6.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 79.0% · O3.5 PROB 87.1%

Form & verdict PPG

KONNERUD · PPG 2.00

LOKOMOTIV OSLO · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs P(Home)=53.1%

Win probability 1X2

Konnerud (H) 53.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Lokomotiv Oslo (A) 25.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Konnerud face Lokomotiv Oslo in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 1 on Monday, May 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Konnerud a 53% chance, the draw 22% and Lokomotiv Oslo 25%, so Konnerud are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.7 for Konnerud and 2.5 for Lokomotiv Oslo (6.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-2. There is a 79% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 67% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Konnerud are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.00 for Lokomotiv Oslo. This match finished 4-3.

Konnerud vs Lokomotiv Oslo Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 1

Match Preview & Prediction

More Norway - 3. Division - Girone 1 Predictions