Today / Siauliai vs Riteriai

Siauliai vs Riteriai Prediction

Monday, May 25, 2026

Siauliai

PPG 1.17 · HOME

2 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Riteriai

PPG 0.14 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home outperforming model: AVERAGE form (1.17) vs P(Home)=54.1%

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.1%0-16.2%0-21.6%0-30.3%0-4+0.0%1 1-019.3%1-110.0%1-22.6%1-30.4%1-4+0.1%2 2-015.4%2-18.0%2-22.1%2-30.4%2-4+0.1%3 3-08.2%3-14.2%3-21.1%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-04.7%4+-12.4%4+-20.6%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 54.1% — — —

Draw 26.7% — — —

Away win 19.2% — — —

Over 2.5 46.2% — — —

Over 3.5 16.4% — — —

BTTS 46.2% — — —

Home O1.5 47.4% — — —

Away O1.5 9.6% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 37%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)0.5 BTTS prob46.2%

H 54% / xG 1.6-0.5 / U2.5 46% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 19.3%

#2 2–0✓ 15.4%

#3 0–0 12.1%

#4 1–1 10.0%

#5 3–0 8.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Siauliai1.6

Riteriai0.5

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.2% · O3.5 PROB 16.4%

Form & verdict PPG

SIAULIAI · PPG 1.17

RITERIAI · PPG 0.14

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: AVERAGE form (1.17) vs P(Home)=54.1%

Win probability 1X2

Siauliai (H) 54.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Riteriai (A) 19.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Siauliai face Riteriai on Monday, May 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Siauliai a 54% chance, the draw 27% and Riteriai 19%, so Siauliai are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Siauliai and 0.5 for Riteriai (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Siauliai are averaging 1.17 points per game versus 0.14 for Riteriai. This match finished 2-0.

Siauliai vs Riteriai Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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