Today / Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6 / Fram vs Raelingen

Fram vs Raelingen Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6

Regular Season - 8 ·Monday, May 25, 2026, 13:00

Fram

PPG 0.67 · HOME

5 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · AWAY O1.5

Raelingen

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away Over 1.5

Model probability 79.0% vs bookmaker-implied 66.2% — a clear edge.

+19.3% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.7%0-12.2%0-23.2%0-33.1%0-4+4.7%1 1-01.5%1-14.3%1-26.3%1-36.1%1-4+9.2%2 2-01.5%2-14.2%2-26.2%2-36.1%2-4+9.1%3 3-01.0%3-12.8%3-24.1%3-34.0%3-4+6.0%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-12.2%4+-23.2%4+-33.1%4+-4+4.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 26.3% 52.6% 1.90 -30.0%

Draw 21.1% 23.1% 4.33 -5.2%

Away win 52.6% 36.4% 2.75 +44.6%

Over 2.5 78.9% 87.7% 1.14 -10.1%

Over 3.5 72.0% 73.5% 1.36 -2.1%

BTTS 66.7% 87.7% 1.14 -24.0%

Home O1.5 58.6% 78.7% 1.27 -25.6%

Away O1.5 79.0% 66.2% 1.51 +19.3%

League track record ↗

Based on 14 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 64%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 36%

Score Hit 36%

ROI -56.8%

Bet Hit 33%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 3 68%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 5-1

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)2.9 BTTS prob66.7%

A 53% / xG 2.0-2.9 / O2.5 79% / BTTS 67%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 6.3%

#2 2–2 6.2%

#3 1–3 6.1%

#4 2–3 6.1%

#5 1–1 4.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Fram2.0

Raelingen2.9

COMBINED 4.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 78.9% · O3.5 PROB 72.0%

Form & verdict PPG

FRAM · PPG 0.67

RAELINGEN · PPG 1.00

⚠ CAUTION - Home form weak, consider away

65%

DANGER

Home weakness: POOR (0.67) vs Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Fram (H) 26.3%

ODDS 1.90 · IMPLIED 52.6% EV -30.0%

Draw 21.1%

ODDS 4.33 · IMPLIED 23.1% EV -5.2%

Raelingen (A) 52.6%

ODDS 2.75 · IMPLIED 36.4% EV +44.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Fram face Raelingen in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6 on Monday, May 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Fram a 26% chance, the draw 21% and Raelingen 53%, so Raelingen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Fram and 2.9 for Raelingen (4.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 79% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 67% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Fram are averaging 0.67 points per game versus 1.00 for Raelingen. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +44.6%. This match finished 5-1.

Fram vs Raelingen Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6

Match Preview & Prediction

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