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Brumunddal vs Lillehammer Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6

Regular Season - 8 ·Monday, May 25, 2026, 13:00

Brumunddal

PPG 1.50 · HOME

0 – 8

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY O1.5

Lillehammer

PPG 1.33 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away Over 1.5

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.50), Away AVERAGE (1.33)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.5%0-11.8%0-23.6%0-34.6%0-4+12.7%1 1-00.7%1-12.7%1-25.2%1-36.8%1-4+18.6%2 2-00.5%2-11.9%2-23.8%2-34.9%2-4+13.6%3 3-00.2%3-10.9%3-21.8%3-32.4%3-4+6.6%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.5%4+-20.9%4+-31.2%4+-4+3.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 14.0% — — —

Draw 20.4% — — —

Away win 65.6% — — —

Over 2.5 79.0% — — —

Over 3.5 78.3% — — —

BTTS 63.0% — — —

Home O1.5 42.9% — — —

Away O1.5 90.1% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 14 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 64%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 36%

Score Hit 36%

ROI -56.8%

Bet Hit 33%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 4 72%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-8

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)3.9 BTTS prob63.0%

A 66% / xG 1.5-3.9 / O2.5 79% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–3 6.8%

#2 1–4 6.6%

#3 1–2 5.2%

#4 1–5 5.2%

#5 2–3 4.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Brumunddal1.5

Lillehammer3.9

COMBINED 5.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 79.0% · O3.5 PROB 78.3%

Form & verdict PPG

BRUMUNDDAL · PPG 1.50

LILLEHAMMER · PPG 1.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.50), Away AVERAGE (1.33)

Win probability 1X2

Brumunddal (H) 14.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 20.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Lillehammer (A) 65.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Brumunddal face Lillehammer in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6 on Monday, May 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Brumunddal a 14% chance, the draw 20% and Lillehammer 66%, so Lillehammer are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Brumunddal and 3.9 for Lillehammer (5.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-3. There is a 79% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Brumunddal are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 1.33 for Lillehammer. This match finished 0-8.

Brumunddal vs Lillehammer Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6

Match Preview & Prediction

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