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Volta Redonda vs Ypiranga Prediction— Brazil - Serie C

Matchday 8 ·Sunday, May 24, 2026, 22:00

Volta Redonda

PPG 1.25 · HOME

LAST 5

LLWLL

2 – 1

FULL TIME

Ypiranga

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWDWD

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-016.7%0-116.3%0-27.9%0-32.6%0-4+0.8%1 1-013.6%1-113.3%1-26.5%1-32.1%1-4+0.6%2 2-05.6%2-15.4%2-22.6%2-30.9%2-4+0.3%3 3-01.5%3-11.5%3-20.7%3-30.2%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.4%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 30.2% 52.4% 1.91 -42.3%

Draw 33.4% 32.3% 3.10 +3.5%

Away win 36.4% 25.0% 4.00 +45.6%

Over 2.5 35.0% 45.5% 2.20 -23.0%

Over 3.5 10.7% 23.8% 4.20 -33.0%

BTTS 47.9% 51.8% 1.93 -7.5%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 116 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 42%

O2.5 52%

BTTS 54%

Score Hit 57%

ROI -13.0%

Bet Hit 45%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 51%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob47.9%

D 33% / xG 0.8-1.0 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 16.7%

#2 1–1 13.3%

#3 0–1 16.3%

#4 1–0 13.6%

#5 0–2 7.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Volta Redonda0.8

Ypiranga1.0

COMBINED 1.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.0% · O3.5 PROB 10.7%

Form & verdict PPG

VOLTA REDONDA · PPG 1.25

YPIRANGA · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity | Best EV...

Chance this pick lands

48%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.25), Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Volta Redonda (H) 30.2%

ODDS 1.91 · IMPLIED 52.4% EV -42.3%

Draw 33.4%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV +3.5%

Ypiranga (A) 36.4%

ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV +45.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Volta Redonda face Ypiranga in Brazil - Serie C on Sunday, May 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Volta Redonda a 30% chance, the draw 33% and Ypiranga 36%, so Ypiranga are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Volta Redonda and 1.0 for Ypiranga (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Volta Redonda are averaging 1.25 points per game versus 1.00 for Ypiranga. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +45.6%. This match finished 2-1.

Volta Redonda vs Ypiranga Prediction— Brazil - Serie C

Match Preview & Prediction

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