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Brazil - Serie C logo Brazil flag Brazil - Serie C Regular Season - 8 Sunday, May 24, 2026 19:30
Amazonas logo Amazonas PPG 1.75
1-2 MISS
Ferroviaria logo Ferroviaria PPG 0.67
Home· +5.4% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
66% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 50.2%
Odds: 2.10 EV: +5.4%
Draw 28.9%
Odds: 3.00 EV: -8.0%
Away 20.9%
Odds: 3.50 EV: -16.1%
Model lean: Home
Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 35.0% Odds: 2.38 -16.7%
Over 3.5 9.8% Odds: 4.50 -33.5%
BTTS 46.2% Odds: 1.95 -9.9%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0
2nd 0-0
3rd 1-1
4th 2-0
5th 0-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Amazonas
1.21
Ferroviaria
0.52

Model Suggestion

Home +5.4% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.

League Track Record

Based on 19 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 37%
O2.5/Under 47%
BTTS/No 58%
Score Hit 68%
ROI -29.4%
Bet Hit 40% (5 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
66%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.75) vs P(Home)=50.2%

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