Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 54.6% Odds: 1.53 -16.5%
Over 3.5 32.0% Odds: 2.35 -24.8%
BTTS 51.6% Odds: 1.73 -10.7%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 2-0 ✘
2nd 1-1 ✘
3rd 1-0 ✘
4th 2-1 ✘
5th 3-0 ✘
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5 -16.5% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -16.5% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+27.9%) — probability too low to qualify.
League Track Record ↗
Based on 22 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc 50%
O2.5/Under 77%
BTTS/No 68%
Score Hit 32%
ROI -6.6%
Bet Hit 56% (9 bets)
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B... HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.25) vs P(Home)=54.1%