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Sollentuna vs Pitea Prediction— Sweden - Ettan - Norra

Norra - 9 ·Sunday, May 24, 2026, 14:00

Sollentuna

PPG 0.33 · HOME

2 – 2

FULL TIME

Pitea

PPG 1.50 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-015.0%0-113.6%0-26.2%0-31.9%0-4+0.5%1 1-014.8%1-113.5%1-26.1%1-31.9%1-4+0.5%2 2-07.3%2-16.7%2-23.0%2-30.9%2-4+0.3%3 3-02.4%3-12.2%3-21.0%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-10.7%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 37.6% 65.4% 1.53 -42.5%

Draw 35.2% 25.3% 3.95 +39.0%

Away win 27.2% 19.6% 5.10 +23.2%

Over 2.5 35.0% 56.5% 1.77 -38.0%

Over 3.5 12.5% 33.9% 2.95 -37.9%

BTTS 48.6% 55.6% 1.80 -12.5%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 56 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 38%

ROI -1.2%

Bet Hit 63%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 35%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-2

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob48.6%

H 38% / xG 1.0-0.9 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 15.0%

#2 1–1 13.5%

#3 1–0 14.8%

#4 0–1 13.6%

#5 2–0 7.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sollentuna1.0

Pitea0.9

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.0% · O3.5 PROB 12.5%

Form & verdict PPG

SOLLENTUNA · PPG 0.33

PITEA · PPG 1.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.50) vs Home POOR (0.33)

Win probability 1X2

Sollentuna (H) 37.6%

ODDS 1.53 · IMPLIED 65.4% EV -42.5%

Draw 35.2%

ODDS 3.95 · IMPLIED 25.3% EV +39.0%

Pitea (A) 27.2%

ODDS 5.10 · IMPLIED 19.6% EV +23.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Sollentuna face Pitea in Sweden - Ettan - Norra on Sunday, May 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sollentuna a 38% chance, the draw 35% and Pitea 27%, so Sollentuna are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Sollentuna and 0.9 for Pitea (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sollentuna are averaging 0.33 points per game versus 1.50 for Pitea. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +39.0%. This match finished 2-2.

Sollentuna vs Pitea Prediction— Sweden - Ettan - Norra

Match Preview & Prediction

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