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Latvia - Virsliga Sunday, May 24, 2026 12:00 
Riga FC PPG 2.33 
Super Nova PPG 1.88
Latvia - Virsliga Sunday, May 24, 2026 12:00 Riga FC PPG 2.333-0 HIT CS5
Super Nova PPG 1.88Away· +128.2% ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
75% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 63.9% Odds: 1.36 -13.1%
Over 3.5 49.7% Odds: 1.93 -4.1%
BTTS 59.7% Odds: 2.05 +22.4%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st 2-1 ✘
2nd 2-0 ✘
3rd 1-1 ✘
4th 3-1 ✘
5th 3-0 ✔
Expected Goals (xG)
Riga FC 2.58
Super Nova 1.08
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5 -13.1% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-13.1%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.
League Track Record ↗
Based on 43 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc 67%
O2.5/Under 61%
BTTS/No 54%
Score Hit 56%
ROI -16.4%
Bet Hit 50% (10 bets)
Verdict & Form
✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
MODERATE_HOME 75%
Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.33) > Away GOOD (1.88)