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Astrio vs Landvetter Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Västra Götaland

Västra Götaland - 9 ·Sunday, May 24, 2026, 11:00

Astrio

PPG 1.00 · HOME

0 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY

Landvetter

PPG 1.75 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Model probability 60.7% vs bookmaker-implied 57.8% — a real, if thin, edge.

+5.0% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.4%0-117.3%0-214.4%0-38.0%0-4+4.8%1 1-06.3%1-110.4%1-28.6%1-34.8%1-4+2.9%2 2-01.9%2-13.1%2-22.6%2-31.4%2-4+0.9%3 3-00.4%3-10.6%3-20.5%3-30.3%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.1%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 14.0% 26.0% 3.85 -27.7%

Draw 25.3% 26.0% 3.85 -1.6%

Away win 60.7% 57.8% 1.73 +5.0%

Over 2.5 46.2% 67.6% 1.48 -31.6%

Over 3.5 19.3% 45.5% 2.20 -34.5%

BTTS 48.6% 69.0% 1.45 -29.5%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 30 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5 73%

BTTS 73%

Score Hit 37%

ROI 0.3%

Bet Hit 69%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 39%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)0.6 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob48.6%

A 61% / xG 0.6-1.7 / U2.5 46% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–1 17.3%

#2 0–2✓ 14.4%

#3 0–0 10.4%

#4 1–1 10.4%

#5 1–2 8.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Astrio0.6

Landvetter1.7

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.2% · O3.5 PROB 19.3%

Form & verdict PPG

ASTRIO · PPG 1.00

LANDVETTER · PPG 1.75

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity

66%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.75) vs Home AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Astrio (H) 14.0%

ODDS 3.85 · IMPLIED 26.0% EV -27.7%

Draw 25.3%

ODDS 3.85 · IMPLIED 26.0% EV -1.6%

Landvetter (A) 60.7%

ODDS 1.73 · IMPLIED 57.8% EV +5.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Astrio face Landvetter in Sweden - Division 2 - Västra Götaland on Sunday, May 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Astrio a 14% chance, the draw 25% and Landvetter 61%, so Landvetter are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.6 for Astrio and 1.7 for Landvetter (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Astrio are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.75 for Landvetter. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +5.0%. This match finished 0-2.

Astrio vs Landvetter Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Västra Götaland

Match Preview & Prediction

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