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Brazil - Serie C logo Brazil flag Brazil - Serie C Regular Season - 8 Saturday, May 23, 2026 22:30
Maranhao logo Maranhao PPG 2.33
0-0 HIT MostLikelyScore
Caxias logo Caxias PPG 0.50
BTTS· +2.1% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 37.9%
Odds: 2.55 EV: -3.4%
Draw 35.0%
Odds: 2.90 EV: +1.5%
Away 27.1%
Odds: 2.75 EV: -15.3%
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 35.0% Odds: 2.60 -9.0%
Over 3.5 12.8% Odds: 4.50 -25.4%
BTTS 48.6% Odds: 2.10 +2.1%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-0
2nd 1-1
3rd 1-0
4th 0-1
5th 2-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Maranhao
1.02
Caxias
0.90

Model Suggestion

No Bet NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

League Track Record

Based on 19 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 37%
O2.5/Under 47%
BTTS/No 58%
Score Hit 68%
ROI -29.4%
Bet Hit 40% (5 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.33) vs P(Home)=37.9%

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