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Resovia Rzeszow vs Podbeskidzie Prediction— Poland - II Liga - East

Regular Season - 33 ·Saturday, May 23, 2026, 17:30

Resovia Rzeszow

PPG 1.44 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Podbeskidzie

PPG 1.44 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 59.7% vs bookmaker-implied 76.9%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.4%0-18.2%0-26.2%0-33.1%0-4+1.7%1 1-07.6%1-111.5%1-28.7%1-34.4%1-4+2.3%2 2-05.3%2-18.1%2-26.1%2-33.1%2-4+1.6%3 3-02.5%3-13.8%3-22.8%3-31.4%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-11.8%4+-21.4%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.4% 33.3% 3.00 +9.2%

Draw 26.2% 28.6% 3.50 -5.0%

Away win 37.4% 51.3% 1.95 -27.1%

Over 2.5 59.1% 73.5% 1.36 -19.6%

Over 3.5 33.3% 54.6% 1.83 -39.1%

BTTS 59.7% 76.9% 1.30 -22.4%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 58 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 53%

Score Hit 50%

ROI -7.9%

Bet Hit 57%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 42%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob59.7%

A 37% / xG 1.4-1.5 / O2.5 59% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 11.5%

#2 1–2 8.7%

#3 2–1 8.1%

#4 0–0 5.4%

#5 0–1 8.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Resovia Rzeszow1.4

Podbeskidzie1.5

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.1% · O3.5 PROB 33.3%

Form & verdict PPG

RESOVIA RZESZOW · PPG 1.44

PODBESKIDZIE · PPG 1.44

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.44), Away AVERAGE (1.44)

Win probability 1X2

Resovia Rzeszow (H) 36.4%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV +9.2%

Draw 26.2%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV -5.0%

Podbeskidzie (A) 37.4%

ODDS 1.95 · IMPLIED 51.3% EV -27.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Resovia Rzeszow face Podbeskidzie in Poland - II Liga - East on Saturday, May 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Resovia Rzeszow a 36% chance, the draw 26% and Podbeskidzie 37%, so Podbeskidzie are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Resovia Rzeszow and 1.5 for Podbeskidzie (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Resovia Rzeszow are averaging 1.44 points per game versus 1.44 for Podbeskidzie. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +9.2%. This match finished 1-1.

Resovia Rzeszow vs Podbeskidzie Prediction— Poland - II Liga - East

Match Preview & Prediction

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