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Slask Wroclaw B vs LKS Lodz B Prediction— Poland - II Liga - East

Regular Season - 33 ·Saturday, May 23, 2026, 15:00

Slask Wroclaw B

PPG 1.19 · HOME

4 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

LKS Lodz B

PPG 0.63 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.1 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 61.4% vs bookmaker-implied 66.7%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.5%0-14.7%0-22.4%0-30.8%0-4+0.3%1 1-09.2%1-19.6%1-25.0%1-31.7%1-4+0.6%2 2-09.5%2-19.9%2-25.2%2-31.8%2-4+0.6%3 3-06.6%3-16.8%3-23.6%3-31.2%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-05.5%4+-15.7%4+-23.0%4+-31.0%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 53.2% 69.0% 1.45 -22.9%

Draw 24.7% 24.4% 4.10 +0.8%

Away win 22.1% 19.2% 5.20 +8.9%

Over 2.5 61.4% 66.7% 1.50 -7.9%

Over 3.5 37.7% 43.3% 2.31 -12.9%

BTTS 54.6% 62.5% 1.60 -12.6%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 58 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 53%

Score Hit 50%

ROI -7.9%

Bet Hit 57%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 50%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-1

xG (home)2.1 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob54.6%

H 53% / xG 2.1-1.0 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.6%

#2 2–1 9.9%

#3 2–0 9.5%

#4 1–0 9.2%

#5 3–1 6.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Slask Wroclaw B2.1

LKS Lodz B1.0

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.4% · O3.5 PROB 37.7%

Form & verdict PPG

SLASK WROCLAW B · PPG 1.19

LKS LODZ B · PPG 0.63

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.19) > Away POOR (0.63)

Win probability 1X2

Slask Wroclaw B (H) 53.2%

ODDS 1.45 · IMPLIED 69.0% EV -22.9%

Draw 24.7%

ODDS 4.10 · IMPLIED 24.4% EV +0.8%

LKS Lodz B (A) 22.1%

ODDS 5.20 · IMPLIED 19.2% EV +8.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Slask Wroclaw B face LKS Lodz B in Poland - II Liga - East on Saturday, May 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Slask Wroclaw B a 53% chance, the draw 25% and LKS Lodz B 22%, so Slask Wroclaw B are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Slask Wroclaw B and 1.0 for LKS Lodz B (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Slask Wroclaw B are averaging 1.19 points per game versus 0.63 for LKS Lodz B. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +8.9%. This match finished 4-1.

Slask Wroclaw B vs LKS Lodz B Prediction— Poland - II Liga - East

Match Preview & Prediction

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