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Rekord Bielsko vs Swit Skolwin Prediction— Poland - II Liga - East

Regular Season - 33 ·Saturday, May 23, 2026, 15:00

Rekord Bielsko

PPG 1.38 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Swit Skolwin

PPG 1.06 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 59.7% vs bookmaker-implied 65.4%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.7%0-16.5%0-24.5%0-32.1%0-4+1.0%1 1-07.9%1-110.9%1-27.5%1-33.5%1-4+1.6%2 2-06.6%2-19.1%2-26.3%2-32.9%2-4+1.3%3 3-03.7%3-15.1%3-23.5%3-31.6%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-02.3%4+-13.1%4+-22.1%4+-31.0%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.5% 55.6% 1.80 -16.3%

Draw 26.5% 27.8% 3.60 -2.8%

Away win 27.0% 28.6% 3.50 -3.3%

Over 2.5 59.1% 63.7% 1.57 -7.2%

Over 3.5 36.5% 44.4% 2.25 -17.9%

BTTS 59.7% 65.4% 1.53 -8.7%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 58 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 53%

Score Hit 50%

ROI -7.9%

Bet Hit 57%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 48%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob59.7%

H 46% / xG 1.7-1.4 / O2.5 59% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.9%

#2 2–1 9.1%

#3 1–2 7.5%

#4 2–0 6.6%

#5 0–0 4.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Rekord Bielsko1.7

Swit Skolwin1.4

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.1% · O3.5 PROB 36.5%

Form & verdict PPG

REKORD BIELSKO · PPG 1.38

SWIT SKOLWIN · PPG 1.06

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.38) > Away AVERAGE (1.06)

Win probability 1X2

Rekord Bielsko (H) 46.5%

ODDS 1.80 · IMPLIED 55.6% EV -16.3%

Draw 26.5%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV -2.8%

Swit Skolwin (A) 27.0%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV -3.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Rekord Bielsko face Swit Skolwin in Poland - II Liga - East on Saturday, May 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Rekord Bielsko a 47% chance, the draw 27% and Swit Skolwin 27%, so Rekord Bielsko are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Rekord Bielsko and 1.4 for Swit Skolwin (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Rekord Bielsko are averaging 1.38 points per game versus 1.06 for Swit Skolwin. This match finished 1-0.

Rekord Bielsko vs Swit Skolwin Prediction— Poland - II Liga - East

Match Preview & Prediction

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