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Schaffhausen vs Grand-Saconnex Prediction— Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion

Regular Season - 33 ·Saturday, May 23, 2026, 14:00

Schaffhausen

PPG 1.81 · HOME

3 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Grand-Saconnex

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.7 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.5%0-14.2%0-23.4%0-31.8%0-4+1.1%1 1-05.2%1-18.5%1-26.9%1-33.8%1-4+2.2%2 2-05.3%2-18.6%2-27.0%2-33.8%2-4+2.2%3 3-03.6%3-15.9%3-24.8%3-32.6%3-4+1.5%4+ 4+-02.9%4+-14.8%4+-23.9%4+-32.1%4+-4+1.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.1% — — —

Draw 24.6% — — —

Away win 26.3% — — —

Over 2.5 63.9% — — —

Over 3.5 50.0% — — —

BTTS 62.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 67 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 70%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 33%

ROI -3.6%

Bet Hit 69%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 57%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-0

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob62.6%

H 49% / xG 2.0-1.6 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.5%

#2 2–1 8.6%

#3 2–2 7.0%

#4 1–2 6.9%

#5 3–1 5.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Schaffhausen2.0

Grand-Saconnex1.6

COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.9% · O3.5 PROB 50.0%

Form & verdict PPG

SCHAFFHAUSEN · PPG 1.81

GRAND-SACONNEX · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.81) vs P(Home)=49.1%

Win probability 1X2

Schaffhausen (H) 49.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Grand-Saconnex (A) 26.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Schaffhausen face Grand-Saconnex in Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion on Saturday, May 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Schaffhausen a 49% chance, the draw 25% and Grand-Saconnex 26%, so Schaffhausen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Schaffhausen and 1.6 for Grand-Saconnex (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Schaffhausen are averaging 1.81 points per game versus 1.00 for Grand-Saconnex. This match finished 3-0.

Schaffhausen vs Grand-Saconnex Prediction— Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion

Match Preview & Prediction

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