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Sweden - Ettan - Norra logo Sweden flag Sweden - Ettan - Norra Norra - 9 Kristinebergs IP· Stockholm Saturday, May 23, 2026 14:00
Stockholm Inter logo Stockholm Inter PPG 1.00
2-1 HIT CS2
Karlberg logo Karlberg PPG 1.75
Away· +23.2% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ MIXED SIGNALS - Model favors home but form suggests away strength ...
48% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 48.8%
Odds: 1.50 EV: -26.8%
Draw 26.0%
Odds: 3.95 EV: +1.6%
Away 25.2%
Odds: 5.50 EV: +23.2%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 55.7% Odds: 1.65 -8.1%
Over 3.5 32.2% Odds: 2.60 -16.3%
BTTS 55.5% Odds: 1.67 -7.3%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 2-0
4th 1-0
5th 0-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Stockholm Inter
1.67
Karlberg
1.19

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -8.1% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -8.1% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+23.2%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ MIXED SIGNALS - Model favors home but form suggests away strength ...
48%
CAUTION_HOME

Caution: Away form (1.75) strong but model favors Home (P=48.8%)

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