Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 55.7% Odds: 1.65 -8.1%
Over 3.5 32.2% Odds: 2.60 -16.3%
BTTS 55.5% Odds: 1.67 -7.3%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✘
2nd 2-1 ✔
3rd 2-0 ✘
4th 1-0 ✘
5th 0-0 ✘
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5 -8.1% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -8.1% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+23.2%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ MIXED SIGNALS - Model favors home but form suggests away strength ... CAUTION_HOME Caution: Away form (1.75) strong but model favors Home (P=48.8%)