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Sweden - Ettan - Norra logo Sweden flag Sweden - Ettan - Norra Norra - 9 Jarfallavallen· Jarfalla Saturday, May 23, 2026 14:00
Jarfalla logo Jarfalla PPG 1.00
4-0 MISS
Gefle logo Gefle PPG 0.25
Draw· -3.9% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 36.2%
Odds: 2.55 EV: -7.7%
Draw 26.7%
Odds: 3.50 EV: -3.9%
Away 37.1%
Odds: 2.38 EV: -11.7%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 52.6% Odds: 1.65 -13.2%
Over 3.5 28.7% Odds: 2.60 -15.2%
BTTS 54.6% Odds: 1.50 -18.1%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 1-2
3rd 0-0
4th 2-1
5th 0-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Jarfalla
1.30
Gefle
1.40

Model Suggestion

BTTS -18.1% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -18.1% at these odds — not a recommended bet.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.00) > Away POOR (0.25)

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