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Sweden - Ettan - Norra
Norra - 9
Jarfallavallen· Jarfalla
Saturday, May 23, 2026
14:00
Jarfalla
PPG 1.00
4-0
MISS
Gefle
PPG 0.25
Draw· -3.9%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
36.2%
Odds: 2.55
EV: -7.7%
Draw
26.7%
Odds: 3.50
EV: -3.9%
Away
37.1%
Odds: 2.38
EV: -11.7%
Model lean:
BTTS
Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
52.6%
Odds: 1.65
-13.2%
Over 3.5
28.7%
Odds: 2.60
-15.2%
BTTS
54.6%
Odds: 1.50
-18.1%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔
BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st
1-1
✘
2nd
1-2
✘
3rd
0-0
✘
4th
2-1
✘
5th
0-1
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Jarfalla
1.30
Gefle
1.40
Model Suggestion
BTTS
-18.1%
NO VALUE BET
No value bet:
model leans BTTS, but EV is -18.1% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME
Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.00) > Away POOR (0.25)