Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 63.9% Odds: 1.28 -18.2%
Over 3.5 52.2% Odds: 1.57 -18.1%
BTTS 62.5% Odds: 1.36 -15.0%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st 2-1 ✘
2nd 1-1 ✘
3rd 3-1 ✘
4th 2-2 ✘
5th 2-0 ✘
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5 -18.2% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -18.2% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+14.1%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage MODERATE_HOME Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.88) > Away AVERAGE (1.19)