Today / Netherlands - Tweede Divisie / Rijnsburgse B. vs RKAV Volendam

Rijnsburgse B. vs RKAV Volendam Prediction— Netherlands - Tweede Divisie

Regular Season - 34 ·Saturday, May 23, 2026, 13:30

Rijnsburgse B.

PPG 1.88 · HOME

7 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

RKAV Volendam

PPG 1.19 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.8 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 63.9% vs bookmaker-implied 78.1%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.3%0-13.4%0-22.5%0-31.2%0-4+0.6%1 1-05.3%1-17.7%1-25.7%1-32.8%1-4+1.4%2 2-06.1%2-19.0%2-26.6%2-33.2%2-4+1.6%3 3-04.7%3-16.9%3-25.1%3-32.5%3-4+1.3%4+ 4+-04.7%4+-16.9%4+-25.0%4+-32.5%4+-4+1.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 52.4% 73.5% 1.36 -28.7%

Draw 22.9% 20.8% 4.80 +5.9%

Away win 24.7% 20.0% 5.00 +14.1%

Over 2.5 63.9% 78.1% 1.28 -18.2%

Over 3.5 52.2% 63.7% 1.57 -18.1%

BTTS 62.5% 73.5% 1.36 -15.0%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 29 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 72%

O2.5 69%

BTTS 55%

Score Hit 28%

ROI 27.0%

Bet Hit 86%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 62%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 7-0

xG (home)2.3 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob62.5%

H 52% / xG 2.3-1.5 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 9.0%

#2 1–1 7.7%

#3 3–1 6.9%

#4 2–2 6.6%

#5 2–0 6.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Rijnsburgse B.2.3

RKAV Volendam1.5

COMBINED 3.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.9% · O3.5 PROB 52.2%

Form & verdict PPG

RIJNSBURGSE B. · PPG 1.88

RKAV VOLENDAM · PPG 1.19

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.88) > Away AVERAGE (1.19)

Win probability 1X2

Rijnsburgse B. (H) 52.4%

ODDS 1.36 · IMPLIED 73.5% EV -28.7%

Draw 22.9%

ODDS 4.80 · IMPLIED 20.8% EV +5.9%

RKAV Volendam (A) 24.7%

ODDS 5.00 · IMPLIED 20.0% EV +14.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Rijnsburgse B. face RKAV Volendam in Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on Saturday, May 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Rijnsburgse B. a 52% chance, the draw 23% and RKAV Volendam 25%, so Rijnsburgse B. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for Rijnsburgse B. and 1.5 for RKAV Volendam (3.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Rijnsburgse B. are averaging 1.88 points per game versus 1.19 for RKAV Volendam. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +14.1%. This match finished 7-0.

Rijnsburgse B. vs RKAV Volendam Prediction— Netherlands - Tweede Divisie

Match Preview & Prediction

More Netherlands - Tweede Divisie Predictions