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Kozakken Boys vs Quick Boys Prediction— Netherlands - Tweede Divisie

Regular Season - 34 ·Saturday, May 23, 2026, 13:30

Kozakken Boys

PPG 1.13 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Quick Boys

PPG 1.88 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.1 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 61.4% vs bookmaker-implied 65.4%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.4%0-18.9%0-29.0%0-36.0%0-4+4.9%1 1-04.8%1-19.8%1-29.9%1-36.7%1-4+5.4%2 2-02.7%2-15.4%2-25.5%2-33.7%2-4+3.0%3 3-01.0%3-12.0%3-22.0%3-31.4%3-4+1.1%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.7%4+-20.7%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 22.7% 22.2% 4.50 +1.3%

Draw 23.6% 26.3% 3.80 -6.2%

Away win 53.7% 63.7% 1.57 -15.7%

Over 2.5 61.4% 65.4% 1.53 -6.1%

Over 3.5 38.1% 45.2% 2.21 -15.8%

BTTS 59.7% 65.4% 1.53 -8.7%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 29 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 72%

O2.5 69%

BTTS 55%

Score Hit 28%

ROI 27.0%

Bet Hit 86%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 55%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)2.0 BTTS prob59.7%

A 54% / xG 1.1-2.0 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.8%

#2 1–2✓ 9.9%

#3 0–2 9.0%

#4 0–1 8.9%

#5 1–3 6.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kozakken Boys1.1

Quick Boys2.0

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.4% · O3.5 PROB 38.1%

Form & verdict PPG

KOZAKKEN BOYS · PPG 1.13

QUICK BOYS · PPG 1.88

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.88) vs Home AVERAGE (1.13)

Win probability 1X2

Kozakken Boys (H) 22.7%

ODDS 4.50 · IMPLIED 22.2% EV +1.3%

Draw 23.6%

ODDS 3.80 · IMPLIED 26.3% EV -6.2%

Quick Boys (A) 53.7%

ODDS 1.57 · IMPLIED 63.7% EV -15.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Kozakken Boys face Quick Boys in Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on Saturday, May 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kozakken Boys a 23% chance, the draw 24% and Quick Boys 54%, so Quick Boys are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Kozakken Boys and 2.0 for Quick Boys (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kozakken Boys are averaging 1.13 points per game versus 1.88 for Quick Boys. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +1.3%. This match finished 1-2.

Kozakken Boys vs Quick Boys Prediction— Netherlands - Tweede Divisie

Match Preview & Prediction

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