Koninklijke HFC vs Spakenburg Prediction & Tips

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Netherlands - Tweede Divisie Regular Season - 34 Sportpark Spanjaardslaan· Haarlem Saturday, May 23, 2026 13:30

Koninklijke HFC PPG 1.81

3-2 MISS

Spakenburg PPG 1.38

Home· +31.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 34.6%

Odds: 3.80 EV: +31.5%

Draw 24.8%

Odds: 3.80 EV: -3.5%

Away 40.6%

Odds: 1.67 EV: -32.2%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.1% Odds: 1.50 -11.3%

Over 3.5 33.5% Odds: 2.19 -26.6%

BTTS 59.7% Odds: 1.50 -10.4%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-2 ✘

3rd 2-1 ✘

4th 0-0 ✘

5th 0-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Koninklijke HFC

1.33

Spakenburg

1.59

Model SuggestionBTTS -10.4% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -10.4% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Home (+31.5%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 29 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 72%

O2.5/Under 69%

BTTS/No 55%

Score Hit 28%

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.81) > Away AVERAGE (1.38)