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T. Neckarsulm vs Hollenbach Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg

Baden-Württemberg - 33 ·Saturday, May 23, 2026, 13:30

T. Neckarsulm

PPG 0.75 · HOME

2 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Hollenbach

PPG 0.81 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.8 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.3%0-14.3%0-24.0%0-32.5%0-4+1.8%1 1-04.4%1-18.2%1-27.7%1-34.8%1-4+3.4%2 2-04.2%2-17.8%2-27.3%2-34.5%2-4+3.2%3 3-02.7%3-14.9%3-24.6%3-32.9%3-4+2.0%4+ 4+-01.9%4+-13.6%4+-23.4%4+-32.1%4+-4+1.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 40.4% — — —

Draw 23.7% — — —

Away win 35.9% — — —

Over 2.5 63.9% — — —

Over 3.5 51.9% — — —

BTTS 63.0% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 53 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 79%

BTTS 76%

Score Hit 32%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 53%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-0

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)1.9 BTTS prob63.0%

H 40% / xG 1.9-1.9 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.2%

#2 2–1 7.8%

#3 1–2 7.7%

#4 2–2 7.3%

#5 3–1 4.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

T. Neckarsulm1.9

Hollenbach1.9

COMBINED 3.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.9% · O3.5 PROB 51.9%

Form & verdict PPG

T. NECKARSULM · PPG 0.75

HOLLENBACH · PPG 0.81

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.75), Away POOR (0.81)

Win probability 1X2

T. Neckarsulm (H) 40.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Hollenbach (A) 35.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

T. Neckarsulm face Hollenbach in Germany - Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg on Saturday, May 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives T. Neckarsulm a 40% chance, the draw 24% and Hollenbach 36%, so T. Neckarsulm are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for T. Neckarsulm and 1.9 for Hollenbach (3.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, T. Neckarsulm are averaging 0.75 points per game versus 0.81 for Hollenbach. This match finished 2-0.

T. Neckarsulm vs Hollenbach Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg

Match Preview & Prediction

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