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Kongahalla vs Dalstorps Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Västra Götaland

Västra Götaland · Matchday 9 ·Saturday, May 23, 2026, 12:00

Kongahalla

PPG 1.25 · HOME

LAST 5

LWLLW

1 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Dalstorps

PPG 0.67 · AWAY

LAST 5

LWWDW

// Model verdict

BTTS 65% chance

Model probability 51.6% vs bookmaker-implied 70.4%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.2%0-112.8%0-28.9%0-34.1%0-4+2.0%1 1-09.1%1-112.7%1-28.9%1-34.1%1-4+1.9%2 2-04.5%2-16.3%2-24.4%2-32.0%2-4+1.0%3 3-01.5%3-12.1%3-21.5%3-30.7%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-10.6%4+-20.4%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 28.4% 40.8% 2.45 -18.3%

Draw 28.1% 27.8% 3.60 +0.7%

Away win 43.4% 41.7% 2.40 +4.2%

Over 2.5 47.3% 66.7% 1.50 -29.0%

Over 3.5 21.8% 43.5% 2.30 -29.9%

BTTS 51.6% 70.4% 1.42 -26.7%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 66 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 70%

BTTS 65%

Score Hit 46%

ROI 47.0%

Bet Hit 83%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 24%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-3

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob51.6%

A 43% / xG 1.0-1.4 / U2.5 47% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.7%

#2 0–0 9.2%

#3 0–1 12.8%

#4 0–2 8.9%

#5 1–2 8.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kongahalla1.0

Dalstorps1.4

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 47.3% · O3.5 PROB 21.8%

Form & verdict PPG

KONGAHALLA · PPG 1.25

DALSTORPS · PPG 0.67

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

Chance this pick lands

65%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.25) > Away POOR (0.67)

Win probability 1X2

Kongahalla (H) 28.4%

ODDS 2.45 · IMPLIED 40.8% EV -18.3%

Draw 28.1%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV +0.7%

Dalstorps (A) 43.4%

ODDS 2.40 · IMPLIED 41.7% EV +4.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Kongahalla face Dalstorps in Sweden - Division 2 - Västra Götaland on Saturday, May 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kongahalla a 28% chance, the draw 28% and Dalstorps 43%, so Dalstorps are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Kongahalla and 1.4 for Dalstorps (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kongahalla are averaging 1.25 points per game versus 0.67 for Dalstorps. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +4.2%. This match finished 1-3.

Kongahalla vs Dalstorps Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Västra Götaland

Match Preview & Prediction

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