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LASK W vs Sudburgenland W Prediction— Austria - Frauenliga

Relegation Group - 23 ·Saturday, May 23, 2026, 12:00

LASK W

PPG 0.70 · HOME

2 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Sudburgenland W

PPG 0.45 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.8 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.3%0-13.2%0-22.2%0-31.0%0-4+0.5%1 1-05.6%1-17.7%1-25.3%1-32.4%1-4+1.1%2 2-06.6%2-19.1%2-26.3%2-32.9%2-4+1.3%3 3-05.3%3-17.2%3-25.0%3-32.3%3-4+1.1%4+ 4+-05.5%4+-17.6%4+-25.2%4+-32.4%4+-4+1.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 52.4% — — —

Draw 22.9% — — —

Away win 24.7% — — —

Over 2.5 63.9% — — —

Over 3.5 51.7% — — —

BTTS 62.3% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 21 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 62%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 48%

Score Hit 48%

ROI 3.3%

Bet Hit 71%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 61%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-0

xG (home)2.4 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob62.3%

H 52% / xG 2.4-1.4 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 9.1%

#2 1–1 7.7%

#3 3–1 7.2%

#4 2–0✓ 6.6%

#5 2–2 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

LASK W2.4

Sudburgenland W1.4

COMBINED 3.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.9% · O3.5 PROB 51.7%

Form & verdict PPG

LASK W · PPG 0.70

SUDBURGENLAND W · PPG 0.45

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.70), Away POOR (0.45)

Win probability 1X2

LASK W (H) 52.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Sudburgenland W (A) 24.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

LASK W face Sudburgenland W in Austria - Frauenliga on Saturday, May 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives LASK W a 52% chance, the draw 23% and Sudburgenland W 25%, so LASK W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.4 for LASK W and 1.4 for Sudburgenland W (3.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, LASK W are averaging 0.70 points per game versus 0.45 for Sudburgenland W. This match finished 2-0.

LASK W vs Sudburgenland W Prediction— Austria - Frauenliga

Match Preview & Prediction

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