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Austria Wien W vs St. Polten W Prediction— Austria - Frauenliga

Championship Group - 24 ·Saturday, May 30, 2026, 12:00

Austria Wien W

PPG 2.82 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

St. Polten W

PPG 2.73 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 52.0% vs bookmaker-implied 61.7%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.5%0-110.0%0-25.3%0-31.9%0-4+0.6%1 1-012.4%1-113.0%1-26.9%1-32.4%1-4+0.8%2 2-08.0%2-18.4%2-24.4%2-31.6%2-4+0.5%3 3-03.5%3-13.7%3-21.9%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-01.5%4+-11.6%4+-20.8%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 40.1% 52.4% 1.91 -23.4%

Draw 28.2% 27.8% 3.60 +0.9%

Away win 31.8% 31.3% 3.20 +1.8%

Over 2.5 48.5% 57.8% 1.73 -16.1%

Over 3.5 27.9% 36.5% 2.74 -14.1%

BTTS 52.0% 61.7% 1.62 -15.8%

Home O1.5 37.2% 53.2% 1.88 -30.1%

Away O1.5 28.3% 37.9% 2.64 -15.2%

League track record ↗

Based on 21 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 62%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 48%

Score Hit 48%

ROI 3.3%

Bet Hit 71%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 2 27%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob52.0%

D 28% / xG 1.3-1.1 / U2.5 48% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 13.0%

#2 0–0 9.5%

#3 1–0 12.4%

#4 2–1 8.4%

#5 0–1 10.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Austria Wien W1.3

St. Polten W1.1

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 48.5% · O3.5 PROB 27.9%

Form & verdict PPG

AUSTRIA WIEN W · PPG 2.82

ST. POLTEN W · PPG 2.73

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (2.82), Away EXCELLENT (2.73)

Win probability 1X2

Austria Wien W (H) 40.1%

ODDS 1.91 · IMPLIED 52.4% EV -23.4%

Draw 28.2%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV +0.9%

St. Polten W (A) 31.8%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV +1.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Austria Wien W face St. Polten W in Austria - Frauenliga on Saturday, May 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Austria Wien W a 40% chance, the draw 28% and St. Polten W 32%, so Austria Wien W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Austria Wien W and 1.1 for St. Polten W (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Austria Wien W are averaging 2.82 points per game versus 2.73 for St. Polten W. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +1.8%. This match finished 1-1.

Austria Wien W vs St. Polten W Prediction— Austria - Frauenliga

Match Preview & Prediction

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