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First Vienna W vs LASK W Prediction— Austria - Frauenliga

Relegation Group - 22 ·Saturday, May 16, 2026, 12:00

First Vienna W

PPG 1.73 · HOME

3 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

LASK W

PPG 1.70 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 2.9 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 57.8% vs bookmaker-implied 66.7%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.6%0-16.1%0-23.3%0-31.2%0-4+0.4%1 1-010.1%1-110.9%1-25.9%1-32.1%1-4+0.7%2 2-09.1%2-19.8%2-25.3%2-31.9%2-4+0.7%3 3-05.4%3-15.9%3-23.2%3-31.1%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-03.7%4+-14.0%4+-22.1%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 51.3% 71.4% 1.40 -28.2%

Draw 24.5% 23.8% 4.20 +1.7%

Away win 24.2% 16.1% 6.20 +30.0%

Over 2.5 57.8% 66.7% 1.50 -13.3%

Over 3.5 32.5% 45.5% 2.20 -28.5%

BTTS 54.6% 59.9% 1.67 -8.8%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 21 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 62%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 48%

Score Hit 48%

ROI 3.3%

Bet Hit 71%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 44%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-2

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob54.6%

H 51% / xG 1.8-1.1 / O2.5 58% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.9%

#2 2–1 9.8%

#3 2–0 9.1%

#4 1–0 10.1%

#5 0–0 5.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

First Vienna W1.8

LASK W1.1

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 57.8% · O3.5 PROB 32.5%

Form & verdict PPG

FIRST VIENNA W · PPG 1.73

LASK W · PPG 1.70

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity | Best EV...

48%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.73), Away GOOD (1.70)

Win probability 1X2

First Vienna W (H) 51.3%

ODDS 1.40 · IMPLIED 71.4% EV -28.2%

Draw 24.5%

ODDS 4.20 · IMPLIED 23.8% EV +1.7%

LASK W (A) 24.2%

ODDS 6.20 · IMPLIED 16.1% EV +30.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

First Vienna W face LASK W in Austria - Frauenliga on Saturday, May 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives First Vienna W a 51% chance, the draw 25% and LASK W 24%, so First Vienna W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for First Vienna W and 1.1 for LASK W (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 58% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, First Vienna W are averaging 1.73 points per game versus 1.70 for LASK W. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +30.0%. This match finished 3-2.

First Vienna W vs LASK W Prediction— Austria - Frauenliga

Match Preview & Prediction

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