Today / Austria - Frauenliga / FC Salzburg W vs St. Polten W

FC Salzburg W vs St. Polten W Prediction— Austria - Frauenliga

Championship Group - 22 ·Sunday, May 17, 2026, 12:00

FC Salzburg W

PPG 1.18 · HOME

0 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY

St. Polten W

PPG 2.67 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.67) vs Home AVERAGE (1.18)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.3%0-16.8%0-210.2%0-310.1%0-4+15.7%1 1-01.8%1-15.4%1-28.1%1-38.0%1-4+12.5%2 2-00.7%2-12.2%2-23.2%2-33.2%2-4+5.0%3 3-00.2%3-10.6%3-20.9%3-30.8%3-4+1.3%4+ 4+-00.0%4+-10.1%4+-20.2%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 12.1% — — —

Draw 21.2% — — —

Away win 66.7% — — —

Over 2.5 63.9% — — —

Over 3.5 52.1% — — —

BTTS 52.5% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 21 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 62%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 48%

Score Hit 48%

ROI 3.3%

Bet Hit 71%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 62%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-3

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)3.0 BTTS prob52.5%

A 67% / xG 0.8-3.0 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2 10.2%

#2 0–3✓ 10.1%

#3 1–2 8.1%

#4 1–3 8.0%

#5 0–4 7.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

FC Salzburg W0.8

St. Polten W3.0

COMBINED 3.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.9% · O3.5 PROB 52.1%

Form & verdict PPG

FC SALZBURG W · PPG 1.18

ST. POLTEN W · PPG 2.67

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.67) vs Home AVERAGE (1.18)

Win probability 1X2

FC Salzburg W (H) 12.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

St. Polten W (A) 66.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

FC Salzburg W face St. Polten W in Austria - Frauenliga on Sunday, May 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives FC Salzburg W a 12% chance, the draw 21% and St. Polten W 67%, so St. Polten W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for FC Salzburg W and 3.0 for St. Polten W (3.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, FC Salzburg W are averaging 1.18 points per game versus 2.67 for St. Polten W. This match finished 0-3.

FC Salzburg W vs St. Polten W Prediction— Austria - Frauenliga

Match Preview & Prediction

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