Today / Austria - Frauenliga / First Vienna W vs Sudburgenland W

First Vienna W vs Sudburgenland W Prediction— Austria - Frauenliga

Relegation Group - 21 ·Sunday, May 10, 2026, 10:45

First Vienna W

PPG 1.60 · HOME

3 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O3.5

Sudburgenland W

PPG 0.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 3.5

Combined xG of 5.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.4%0-10.6%0-20.4%0-30.2%0-4+0.1%1 1-01.6%1-12.3%1-21.7%1-30.8%1-4+0.4%2 2-03.4%2-14.8%2-23.4%2-31.6%2-4+0.8%3 3-04.6%3-16.5%3-24.7%3-32.2%3-4+1.1%4+ 4+-014.1%4+-120.1%4+-214.3%4+-36.8%4+-4+3.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 68.3% — — —

Draw 19.9% — — —

Away win 11.9% — — —

Over 2.5 78.8% — — —

Over 3.5 80.1% — — —

BTTS 63.0% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 21 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 62%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 48%

Score Hit 48%

ROI 3.3%

Bet Hit 71%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 72%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-0

xG (home)4.1 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob63.0%

H 68% / xG 4.1-1.4 / O2.5 79% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 4–1 6.7%

#2 3–1 6.5%

#3 5–1 5.5%

#4 2–1 4.8%

#5 4–2 4.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

First Vienna W4.1

Sudburgenland W1.4

COMBINED 5.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 78.8% · O3.5 PROB 80.1%

Form & verdict PPG

FIRST VIENNA W · PPG 1.60

SUDBURGENLAND W · PPG 0.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in GOOD form (1.60), Away POOR (0.50) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

First Vienna W (H) 68.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 19.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Sudburgenland W (A) 11.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

First Vienna W face Sudburgenland W in Austria - Frauenliga on Sunday, May 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives First Vienna W a 68% chance, the draw 20% and Sudburgenland W 12%, so First Vienna W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 4.1 for First Vienna W and 1.4 for Sudburgenland W (5.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 4-1. There is a 79% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, First Vienna W are averaging 1.60 points per game versus 0.50 for Sudburgenland W. This match finished 3-0.

First Vienna W vs Sudburgenland W Prediction— Austria - Frauenliga

Match Preview & Prediction

More Austria - Frauenliga Predictions