Today / Austria - Frauenliga / Sudburgenland W vs Kleinmunchen W

Sudburgenland W vs Kleinmunchen W Prediction— Austria - Frauenliga

Relegation Group - 22 ·Sunday, May 17, 2026, 12:00

Sudburgenland W logo
Sudburgenland W
PPG 0.11 · HOME
2 – 2
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5
Kleinmunchen W logo
Kleinmunchen W
PPG 0.60 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.4 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.3%0-12.7%0-22.9%0-32.1%0-4+1.8%1 1-02.8%1-16.1%1-26.5%1-34.6%1-4+4.0%2 2-03.2%2-16.8%2-27.2%2-35.1%2-4+4.5%3 3-02.3%3-15.0%3-25.3%3-33.8%3-4+3.3%4+ 4+-02.2%4+-14.7%4+-25.0%4+-33.6%4+-4+3.1%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 42.7%
Draw 21.9%
Away win 35.3%
Over 2.5 69.8%
Over 3.5 63.3%
BTTS 66.7%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

League track record

Based on 21 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 62%
O2.5 67%
BTTS 48%
Score Hit 48%
ROI 3.3%
Bet Hit 71%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 2 54%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 2-2
xG (home)2.2 xG (away)2.1 BTTS prob66.7%

H 43% / xG 2.2-2.1 / O2.5 70% / BTTS 67%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–2 7.2%
#2 1–1 6.1%
#3 2–1 6.8%
#4 1–2 6.5%
#5 3–2 5.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sudburgenland W2.2
Kleinmunchen W2.1

COMBINED 4.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 69.8% · O3.5 PROB 63.3%

Form & verdict PPG

SUDBURGENLAND W · PPG 0.11

KLEINMUNCHEN W · PPG 0.60

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value
45%
DANGER

Home weakness: POOR (0.11) vs Away POOR (0.60)

Win probability 1X2

Sudburgenland W (H) 42.7%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 21.9%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Kleinmunchen W (A) 35.3%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Sudburgenland W face Kleinmunchen W in Austria - Frauenliga on Sunday, May 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sudburgenland W a 43% chance, the draw 22% and Kleinmunchen W 35%, so Sudburgenland W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for Sudburgenland W and 2.1 for Kleinmunchen W (4.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-2. There is a 70% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 67% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sudburgenland W are averaging 0.11 points per game versus 0.60 for Kleinmunchen W. This match finished 2-2.

PredictVantage

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