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Lindome vs Torslanda Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Västra Götaland

Västra Götaland · Matchday 9 ·Friday, May 22, 2026, 17:00

Lindome

PPG 0.25 · HOME

LAST 5

LWWWW

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Torslanda

PPG 1.50 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWLLL

// Model verdict

Over 2.5 68% chance

Combined xG of 3.4 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 62.7% vs bookmaker-implied 70.4%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.4%0-16.4%0-26.0%0-33.8%0-4+2.7%1 1-05.1%1-19.6%1-29.0%1-35.7%1-4+4.1%2 2-03.8%2-17.2%2-26.8%2-34.2%2-4+3.1%3 3-01.9%3-13.6%3-23.4%3-32.1%3-4+1.5%4+ 4+-01.0%4+-11.9%4+-21.8%4+-31.1%4+-4+0.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 34.0% 48.8% 2.05 -30.3%

Draw 24.1% 26.7% 3.75 -5.8%

Away win 41.9% 35.1% 2.85 +19.4%

Over 2.5 62.7% 70.4% 1.42 -11.0%

Over 3.5 43.6% 48.8% 2.05 -10.6%

BTTS 59.7% 73.5% 1.36 -18.8%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 66 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 70%

BTTS 65%

Score Hit 46%

ROI 47.0%

Bet Hit 83%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 42%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.9 BTTS prob59.7%

A 42% / xG 1.5-1.9 / O2.5 63% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.6%

#2 1–2 9.0%

#3 2–1✓ 7.2%

#4 2–2 6.8%

#5 0–2 6.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Lindome1.5

Torslanda1.9

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 62.7% · O3.5 PROB 43.6%

Form & verdict PPG

LINDOME · PPG 0.25

TORSLANDA · PPG 1.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity

Chance this pick lands

68%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.50) vs Home POOR (0.25)

Win probability 1X2

Lindome (H) 34.0%

ODDS 2.05 · IMPLIED 48.8% EV -30.3%

Draw 24.1%

ODDS 3.75 · IMPLIED 26.7% EV -5.8%

Torslanda (A) 41.9%

ODDS 2.85 · IMPLIED 35.1% EV +19.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Lindome face Torslanda in Sweden - Division 2 - Västra Götaland on Friday, May 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Lindome a 34% chance, the draw 24% and Torslanda 42%, so Torslanda are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Lindome and 1.9 for Torslanda (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Lindome are averaging 0.25 points per game versus 1.50 for Torslanda. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +19.4%. This match finished 2-1.

Lindome vs Torslanda Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Västra Götaland

Match Preview & Prediction

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