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Sweden - Division 2 - Västra Götaland logo Sweden flag Sweden - Division 2 - Västra Götaland Västra Götaland - 9 Friday, May 22, 2026 17:00
Hestrafor logo Hestrafor PPG 0.33
5-1 MISS
Jonsered logo Jonsered PPG 1.75
Over3.5· -1.7% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value
63% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 29.3%
Odds: 2.75 EV: -11.7%
Draw 25.1%
Odds: 3.75 EV: -3.5%
Away 45.6%
Odds: 2.10 EV: -4.2%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 63.9% Odds: 1.44 -8.0%
Over 3.5 46.8% Odds: 2.10 -1.7%
BTTS 61.0% Odds: 1.38 -15.8%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 1-2
3rd 2-2
4th 2-1
5th 1-3

Expected Goals (xG)

Hestrafor
1.47
Jonsered
2.05

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -8.0% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -8.0% at these odds — not a recommended bet.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value
63%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.75) vs Home POOR (0.33)

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