← Back to picks 
Sweden - Ettan - Södra Friday, May 22, 2026 17:00 
Lund PPG 3.00 
Eskilsminne PPG 2.00
Sweden - Ettan - Södra Friday, May 22, 2026 17:00 Lund PPG 3.004-2 MISS
Eskilsminne PPG 2.00Home· +5.8% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
66% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Home
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 52.6% Odds: 1.62 -14.8%
Over 3.5 28.2% Odds: 2.50 -17.7%
BTTS 51.6% Odds: 1.50 -22.6%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✘
2nd 2-0 ✘
3rd 1-0 ✘
4th 2-1 ✘
5th 0-0 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Lund 1.78
Eskilsminne 0.90
Model Suggestion
Home +5.8% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME 66%
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (3.00) vs P(Home)=52.9%