Today / Norway - 3. Division - Girone 3 / Austevoll vs Fana

Austevoll vs Fana Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 3

Regular Season - 8 ·Friday, May 22, 2026, 17:00

Austevoll

PPG 0.33 · HOME

5 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O3.5

Fana

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 3.5

Combined xG of 5.6 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.4%0-11.4%0-22.5%0-33.1%0-4+7.2%1 1-00.7%1-12.7%1-24.9%1-35.9%1-4+13.8%2 2-00.7%2-12.6%2-24.7%2-35.7%2-4+13.4%3 3-00.5%3-11.7%3-23.0%3-33.7%3-4+8.6%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-11.2%4+-22.3%4+-32.7%4+-4+6.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 16.4% — — —

Draw 20.5% — — —

Away win 63.2% — — —

Over 2.5 79.0% — — —

Over 3.5 80.6% — — —

BTTS 66.7% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 11 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 36%

O2.5 91%

BTTS 91%

Score Hit 18%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 4 70%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 5-2

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)3.6 BTTS prob66.7%

A 63% / xG 1.9-3.6 / O2.5 79% / BTTS 67%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–3 5.9%

#2 2–3 5.7%

#3 1–4 5.4%

#4 2–4 5.2%

#5 1–2 4.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Austevoll1.9

Fana3.6

COMBINED 5.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 79.0% · O3.5 PROB 80.6%

Form & verdict PPG

AUSTEVOLL · PPG 0.33

FANA · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: AVERAGE form (1.00) vs Home POOR (0.33)

Win probability 1X2

Austevoll (H) 16.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 20.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Fana (A) 63.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Austevoll face Fana in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 3 on Friday, May 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Austevoll a 16% chance, the draw 21% and Fana 63%, so Fana are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Austevoll and 3.6 for Fana (5.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-3. There is a 79% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 67% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Austevoll are averaging 0.33 points per game versus 1.00 for Fana. This match finished 5-2.

Austevoll vs Fana Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 3

Match Preview & Prediction

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