Today / Marchfeld vs Kremser

Marchfeld vs Kremser Prediction

Friday, May 22, 2026

Marchfeld

PPG 1.79 · HOME

UPCOMING

Kremser

PPG 1.71 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.79), Away GOOD (1.71)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.8%0-110.8%0-26.6%0-32.7%0-4+1.1%1 1-010.6%1-113.0%1-28.0%1-33.2%1-4+1.3%2 2-06.4%2-17.8%2-24.8%2-32.0%2-4+0.8%3 3-02.6%3-13.2%3-21.9%3-30.8%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-01.0%4+-11.2%4+-20.8%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.8% — — —

Draw 27.4% — — —

Away win 36.8% — — —

Over 2.5 47.6% — — —

Over 3.5 22.8% — — —

BTTS 51.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 16%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob51.6%

A 37% / xG 1.2-1.2 / O2.5 48% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.0%

#2 0–0 8.8%

#3 0–1 10.8%

#4 1–0 10.6%

#5 1–2 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Marchfeld1.2

Kremser1.2

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 47.6% · O3.5 PROB 22.8%

Form & verdict PPG

MARCHFELD · PPG 1.79

KREMSER · PPG 1.71

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.79), Away GOOD (1.71)

Win probability 1X2

Marchfeld (H) 35.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Kremser (A) 36.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Marchfeld face Kremser on Friday, May 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Marchfeld a 36% chance, the draw 27% and Kremser 37%, so Kremser are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Marchfeld and 1.2 for Kremser (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Marchfeld are averaging 1.79 points per game versus 1.71 for Kremser.

Marchfeld vs Kremser Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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