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Poland - II Liga - East logo Poland flag Poland - II Liga - East Regular Season - 33 ArcelorMittal Park· Sosnowiec Friday, May 22, 2026 16:00
Z. Sosnowiec logo Z. Sosnowiec PPG 0.94
3-0 MISS
Kalisz logo Kalisz PPG 1.06
Away· +21.8% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
42% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 35.9%
Odds: 1.95 EV: -30.0%
Draw 27.2%
Odds: 3.25 EV: -7.0%
Away 36.9%
Odds: 3.30 EV: +21.8%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 52.6% Odds: 1.75 -8.0%
Over 3.5 27.1% Odds: 2.75 -15.3%
BTTS 53.5% Odds: 1.62 -13.3%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-0
3rd 1-2
4th 2-1
5th 0-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Z. Sosnowiec
1.29
Kalisz
1.34

Model Suggestion

BTTS -13.3% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -13.3% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+21.8%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record

Based on 58 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%
O2.5/Under 50%
BTTS/No 53%
Score Hit 50%
ROI 23.1%
Bet Hit 71% (14 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.94), Away AVERAGE (1.06)

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