Today / JaPS vs Mikkelin

JaPS vs Mikkelin Prediction

Friday, May 22, 2026

JaPS
PPG 2.25 · HOME
0 – 2
FULL TIME
✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME
Mikkelin
PPG 0.75 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.25) vs P(Home)=50.0%

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-021.4%0-18.8%0-21.8%0-30.2%0-4+0.0%1 1-024.2%1-110.0%1-22.1%1-30.3%1-4+0.0%2 2-013.6%2-15.6%2-21.2%2-30.2%2-4+0.0%3 3-05.1%3-12.1%3-20.4%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-01.9%4+-10.8%4+-20.2%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 50.0%
Draw 32.2%
Away win 17.8%
Over 2.5 35.0%
Over 3.5 7.1%
BTTS 41.8%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 45%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 0-2
xG (home)1.1 xG (away)0.4 BTTS prob41.8%

H 50% / xG 1.1-0.4 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 42%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 21.4%
#2 1–0 24.2%
#3 2–0 13.6%
#4 1–1 10.0%
#5 0–1 8.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

JaPS1.1
Mikkelin0.4

COMBINED 1.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.0% · O3.5 PROB 7.1%

Form & verdict PPG

JAPS · PPG 2.25

MIKKELIN · PPG 0.75

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.25) vs P(Home)=50.0%

Win probability 1X2

JaPS (H) 50.0%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 32.2%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Mikkelin (A) 17.8%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

JaPS face Mikkelin on Friday, May 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives JaPS a 50% chance, the draw 32% and Mikkelin 18%, so JaPS are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for JaPS and 0.4 for Mikkelin (1.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 42% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, JaPS are averaging 2.25 points per game versus 0.75 for Mikkelin. This match finished 0-2.

PredictVantage

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