Auda vs Liepaja Prediction & Tips

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Latvia - Virsliga Regular Season - 14 Skonto stadions· Riga Friday, May 22, 2026 15:00

Auda PPG 1.50

3-1 HIT CS4

Liepaja PPG 1.17

Over3.5· +4.0% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 53.2%

Odds: 1.80 EV: -4.2%

Draw 24.6%

Odds: 3.70 EV: -5.4%

Away 22.1%

Odds: 3.65 EV: -11.6%

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 61.4% Odds: 1.62 -0.5%

Over 3.5 41.6% Odds: 2.50 +4.0%

BTTS 59.7% Odds: 1.53 -8.7%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 2-0 ✘

4th 3-1 ✔

5th 1-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Auda

2.15

Liepaja

1.13

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 -0.5% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -0.5% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Over3.5 (+4.0%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.50) > Away AVERAGE (1.17)