Today / Wenzhou Pro. vs Guangdong M.

Wenzhou Pro. vs Guangdong M. Prediction

Friday, May 22, 2026

Wenzhou Pro.

PPG 0.33 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

Guangdong M.

PPG 0.50 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-022.7%0-117.4%0-26.7%0-31.7%0-4+0.4%1 1-016.2%1-112.5%1-24.8%1-31.2%1-4+0.3%2 2-05.8%2-14.5%2-21.7%2-30.4%2-4+0.1%3 3-01.4%3-11.1%3-20.4%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.2%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 31.1% — — —

Draw 40.0% — — —

Away win 29.0% — — —

Over 2.5 25.8% — — —

Over 3.5 6.3% — — —

BTTS 46.2% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 62%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)0.7 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob46.2%

D 40% / xG 0.7-0.8 / U2.5 26% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 22.7%

#2 0–1 17.4%

#3 1–0 16.2%

#4 1–1✓ 12.5%

#5 0–2 6.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Wenzhou Pro.0.7

Guangdong M.0.8

COMBINED 1.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 25.8% · O3.5 PROB 6.3%

Form & verdict PPG

WENZHOU PRO. · PPG 0.33

GUANGDONG M. · PPG 0.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.33), Away POOR (0.50)

Win probability 1X2

Wenzhou Pro. (H) 31.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 40.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Guangdong M. (A) 29.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Wenzhou Pro. face Guangdong M. on Friday, May 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Wenzhou Pro. a 31% chance, the draw 40% and Guangdong M. 29%, so a draw is the most likely result. Expected goals are 0.7 for Wenzhou Pro. and 0.8 for Guangdong M. (1.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 26% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Wenzhou Pro. are averaging 0.33 points per game versus 0.50 for Guangdong M.. This match finished 1-1.

Wenzhou Pro. vs Guangdong M. Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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