Today / Ganzhou Ruishi vs Shenzhen 2028
Ganzhou Ruishi vs Shenzhen 2028 Prediction
Friday, May 22, 2026
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
Correct score prediction
H 38% / xG 1.0-0.8 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 49%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.0% · O3.5 PROB 11.8%
Form & verdict
GANZHOU RUISHI · PPG 1.25
SHENZHEN 2028 · PPG 1.33
Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.25), Away AVERAGE (1.33)
Win probability
Match Preview & Prediction
Ganzhou Ruishi face Shenzhen 2028 on Friday, May 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ganzhou Ruishi a 38% chance, the draw 35% and Shenzhen 2028 27%, so Ganzhou Ruishi are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Ganzhou Ruishi and 0.8 for Shenzhen 2028 (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ganzhou Ruishi are averaging 1.25 points per game versus 1.33 for Shenzhen 2028. This match finished 3-0.