Today / Bentleigh G. vs George Cross

Bentleigh G. vs George Cross Prediction

Friday, May 22, 2026

Bentleigh G.
PPG 1.57 · HOME
0 – 0
FULL TIME
✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS
George Cross
PPG 1.29 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.57), Away AVERAGE (1.29)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.8%0-17.8%0-26.4%0-33.5%0-4+2.1%1 1-06.7%1-111.0%1-29.0%1-34.9%1-4+2.9%2 2-04.7%2-17.7%2-26.3%2-33.4%2-4+2.0%3 3-02.2%3-13.6%3-23.0%3-31.6%3-4+1.0%4+ 4+-01.1%4+-11.7%4+-21.4%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.5%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 34.6%
Draw 24.8%
Away win 40.6%
Over 2.5 59.1%
Over 3.5 36.3%
BTTS 59.7%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 44%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 0-0
xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob59.7%

A 41% / xG 1.4-1.6 / O2.5 59% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.0%
#2 1–2 9.0%
#3 2–1 7.7%
#4 0–0 4.8%
#5 0–2 6.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Bentleigh G.1.4
George Cross1.6

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.1% · O3.5 PROB 36.3%

Form & verdict PPG

BENTLEIGH G. · PPG 1.57

GEORGE CROSS · PPG 1.29

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.57), Away AVERAGE (1.29)

Win probability 1X2

Bentleigh G. (H) 34.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 24.8%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
George Cross (A) 40.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Bentleigh G. face George Cross on Friday, May 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bentleigh G. a 35% chance, the draw 25% and George Cross 41%, so George Cross are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Bentleigh G. and 1.6 for George Cross (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bentleigh G. are averaging 1.57 points per game versus 1.29 for George Cross. This match finished 0-0.

PredictVantage

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