Today / Norway - 3. Division - Girone 2 / NTNUI vs Ranheim B

NTNUI vs Ranheim B Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 2

Regular Season - 8 ·Thursday, May 21, 2026, 17:00

NTNUI

PPG 0.50 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O3.5

Ranheim B

PPG 0.33 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 3.5

Combined xG of 6.6 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.1%0-10.5%0-20.9%0-31.1%0-4+2.5%1 1-00.4%1-11.5%1-22.7%1-33.2%1-4+7.4%2 2-00.6%2-12.2%2-24.0%2-34.8%2-4+11.0%3 3-00.6%3-12.2%3-23.9%3-34.8%3-4+10.9%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-13.4%4+-26.2%4+-37.4%4+-4+17.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.1% — — —

Draw 21.1% — — —

Away win 43.8% — — —

Over 2.5 79.0% — — —

Over 3.5 89.4% — — —

BTTS 83.8% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 15 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 33%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 33%

ROI 0.6%

Bet Hit 71%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 3 43%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)3.0 xG (away)3.6 BTTS prob83.8%

A 44% / xG 3.0-3.6 / O2.5 79% / BTTS 84%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–3 4.8%

#2 3–3 4.8%

#3 2–4 4.3%

#4 3–4 4.3%

#5 2–2 4.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

NTNUI3.0

Ranheim B3.6

COMBINED 6.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 79.0% · O3.5 PROB 89.4%

Form & verdict PPG

NTNUI · PPG 0.50

RANHEIM B · PPG 0.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.50), Away POOR (0.33)

Win probability 1X2

NTNUI (H) 35.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Ranheim B (A) 43.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

NTNUI face Ranheim B in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 2 on Thursday, May 21, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives NTNUI a 35% chance, the draw 21% and Ranheim B 44%, so Ranheim B are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.0 for NTNUI and 3.6 for Ranheim B (6.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-3. There is a 79% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 84% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, NTNUI are averaging 0.50 points per game versus 0.33 for Ranheim B. This match finished 1-0.

NTNUI vs Ranheim B Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 2

Match Preview & Prediction

More Norway - 3. Division - Girone 2 Predictions