Sogndal vs Stabaek Prediction & Tips

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Norway - 1. Division Regular Season - 8 Fosshaugane Campus· Sogndal Wednesday, May 20, 2026 17:00

Sogndal PPG 2.00

2-2 HIT CS4

Stabaek PPG 1.75

Away· +17.9% ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 24.3%

Odds: 2.65 EV: -21.4%

Draw 22.1%

Odds: 3.65 EV: -11.6%

Away 53.6%

Odds: 2.20 EV: +17.9%

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 63.9% Odds: 1.42 -9.3%

Over 3.5 56.7% Odds: 2.05 +16.2%

BTTS 63.0% Odds: 1.36 -14.3%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-2 ✘

2nd 1-1 ✘

3rd 1-3 ✘

4th 2-2 ✔

5th 0-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Sogndal

1.51

Stabaek

2.49

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 -9.3% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-9.3%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (2.00), Away GOOD (1.75)