Today / Norway - 1. Division / Raufoss vs Bryne

Raufoss vs Bryne Prediction— Norway - 1. Division

Regular Season - 8 ·Wednesday, May 20, 2026, 17:00

Raufoss

PPG 0.33 · HOME

3 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Bryne

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 61.4% vs bookmaker-implied 60.6% — a real, if thin, edge.

+1.3% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.9%0-17.2%0-26.7%0-34.2%0-4+3.0%1 1-05.4%1-110.0%1-29.3%1-35.8%1-4+4.1%2 2-03.7%2-16.9%2-26.5%2-34.0%2-4+2.9%3 3-01.7%3-13.2%3-23.0%3-31.9%3-4+1.3%4+ 4+-00.8%4+-11.5%4+-21.4%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 30.6% 33.9% 2.95 -9.7%

Draw 24.6% 29.0% 3.45 -9.1%

Away win 44.8% 47.6% 2.10 -5.9%

Over 2.5 61.4% 60.6% 1.65 +1.3%

Over 3.5 40.9% 38.5% 2.60 +6.3%

BTTS 59.7% 65.4% 1.53 -8.7%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 49 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 59%

O2.5 69%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 25%

ROI 5.8%

Bet Hit 69%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 41%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-0

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.9 BTTS prob59.7%

A 45% / xG 1.4-1.9 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.0%

#2 1–2 9.3%

#3 2–1 6.9%

#4 0–2 6.7%

#5 2–2 6.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Raufoss1.4

Bryne1.9

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.4% · O3.5 PROB 40.9%

Form & verdict PPG

RAUFOSS · PPG 0.33

BRYNE · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: AVERAGE form (1.00) vs Home POOR (0.33)

Win probability 1X2

Raufoss (H) 30.6%

ODDS 2.95 · IMPLIED 33.9% EV -9.7%

Draw 24.6%

ODDS 3.45 · IMPLIED 29.0% EV -9.1%

Bryne (A) 44.8%

ODDS 2.10 · IMPLIED 47.6% EV -5.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Raufoss face Bryne in Norway - 1. Division on Wednesday, May 20, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Raufoss a 31% chance, the draw 25% and Bryne 45%, so Bryne are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Raufoss and 1.9 for Bryne (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Raufoss are averaging 0.33 points per game versus 1.00 for Bryne. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +6.3%. This match finished 3-0.

Raufoss vs Bryne Prediction— Norway - 1. Division

Match Preview & Prediction

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