Today / Norway - 1. Division / Ranheim vs Hodd

Ranheim vs Hodd Prediction— Norway - 1. Division

Matchday 8 ·Wednesday, May 20, 2026, 17:00

Ranheim

PPG 2.33 · HOME

LAST 5

LWLLL

3 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Hodd

PPG 1.33 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWWLW

// Model verdict

Over 2.5 64% chance

Combined xG of 3.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 63.9% vs bookmaker-implied 64.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.2%0-13.8%0-22.3%0-30.9%0-4+0.4%1 1-07.1%1-18.6%1-25.2%1-32.1%1-4+0.8%2 2-08.0%2-19.6%2-25.8%2-32.3%2-4+0.9%3 3-06.0%3-17.2%3-24.4%3-31.7%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-05.7%4+-16.9%4+-24.1%4+-31.7%4+-4+0.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 53.6% 64.5% 1.55 -16.9%

Draw 23.7% 25.0% 4.00 -3.1%

Away win 22.8% 20.0% 5.00 +8.4%

Over 2.5 63.9% 64.5% 1.55 -0.9%

Over 3.5 45.4% 42.6% 2.35 +6.7%

BTTS 59.7% 63.7% 1.57 -6.3%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 97 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%

O2.5 73%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 26%

ROI 21.6%

Bet Hit 79%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 54%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-2

xG (home)2.3 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob59.7%

H 54% / xG 2.2-1.2 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.6%

#2 2–1 9.6%

#3 2–0 8.0%

#4 3–1 7.2%

#5 3–0 6.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Ranheim2.3

Hodd1.2

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.9% · O3.5 PROB 45.4%

Form & verdict PPG

RANHEIM · PPG 2.33

HODD · PPG 1.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...

Chance this pick lands

64%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.33) vs P(Home)=53.6%

Win probability 1X2

Ranheim (H) 53.6%

ODDS 1.55 · IMPLIED 64.5% EV -16.9%

Draw 23.7%

ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV -3.1%

Hodd (A) 22.8%

ODDS 5.00 · IMPLIED 20.0% EV +8.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Ranheim face Hodd in Norway - 1. Division on Wednesday, May 20, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ranheim a 54% chance, the draw 24% and Hodd 23%, so Ranheim are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for Ranheim and 1.2 for Hodd (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ranheim are averaging 2.33 points per game versus 1.33 for Hodd. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +8.4%. This match finished 3-2.

Ranheim vs Hodd Prediction— Norway - 1. Division

Match Preview & Prediction

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